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1Advances in prognostic factors in acute pancreatitis:a mini-review显示文摘BACKGROUND:Early assessment of the severity of acute pancreatitis is essential to the proper management of the disease.It is dependent on the criteria of the Atlanta classification system.DATA SOURCES:PubMed search of recent relevant articles was performed to identify information about the severity and prognosis of acute pancreatitis.RESULTS:The scoring systems included the Ranson's or Glasgow's criteria ≥3,the APACHE II classification system ≥8,and the Balthazar's criteria ≥4 according to the computed tomography enhanced scanning findings.The single factors on admission included age >65 years,obesity,hemoconcentration(>44%),abnormal chest X-ray,creatinine >2 mg/dl,C-reactive protein>150 mg/dl,procalcitonin >1.8 ng/ml,albumin <2.5 mg/dl,calcium <8.5 mg/dl,early hyperglycemia,increased intra-abdominal pressure,macrophage migration inhibitory factor,or a combination of IL-10 >50 pg/ml with calcium <6.6 mg/dl.CONCLUSION:The prediction of the severity of acute pancreatitis is largely based on well defined multiple factor scoring systems as well as several single risk factors.Theodoros E Pavlidis Efstathios T Pavlidis Athanasios K Sakantamis 2010Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International2010,9,5:25
2Novel risk scoring system for prediction of pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy显示文摘BACKGROUND The available prediction models for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) do not incorporate both preoperative and intraoperative variables. AIM To construct a new risk scoring system for CR-POPF that includes both preoperative and intraoperative factors. METHODS This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) or pylorus-preserving PD (PPPD) between January 2011 and December 2016 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. Patients were divided into a study (01/2011 to 12/2014) or validation (01/2015 to 12/2016) group according to the time of admission. POPF severity was classified into three grades: Biochemical leak (grade A) and CR-POPF (grades B and C). Logistic regression was used to create a predictive scoring system. RESULTS Preoperative serum albumin ≥ 35 g/L [P = 0.032, odds ratio (OR)= 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85-0.99], hard pancreatic texture (P = 0.004, OR = 0.25, 95%CI: 0.10-0.64), pancreatic duct diameter ≥ 3 mm (P = 0.029, OR = 0.50, 95%CI: 0.27-0.93), and intraoperative blood loss ≥ 500 mL (P = 0.006, OR = 1.002, 95%CI:1.001-1.003) were independently associated with CR-POPF. We established a 10-point risk scoring system to predict CR-POPF. The area under the curve was 0.821 (95%CI: 0.736-0.905) and the cut-off value was 3.5. Including drain amylase levels improved the predictive power of the model. CONCLUSION This study established a 10-point scoring system to predict CR-POPF after PD/PPPD using preoperative and intraoperative parameters. Ultimately, this system could be used to distinguish between high- and low-risk populations in order to facilitate timely interventions after PD.Ye Li Fang Zhou Dong-Ming Zhu Zi-Xiang Zhang Jian Yang Jun Yao Yi-Jun Wei Ya-Ling Xu Dei-Chun Li Jian Zhou 2019World Journal of Gastroenterology2019,25,21:9
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