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Survival analysis of car travel time near a bus stop in developing countries

查看全文 作  者:YANG [1]XiaoBao;GAO [1]ZiYou;GUO [2]HongWei;HUAN [1]Mei 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]MOE Key Laboratory for Urban Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology,Beijing Jiaotong University,Beijing 100044,China;[2]Department of Transportation Engineering,Beijing Institute of Technology,Beijing 100081,China高影响力机构 出  处:《Science China(Technological Sciences)》索引2012年第55卷第8期,共7页高影响力期刊 基  金:supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2012CB725400);National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 70901005,71131001);Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (Grant Nos. 2010000110012,20090009120015);Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (Grant No. 2011JBM055) 摘  要:This paper presents an important investigation into car travel time affected by mixed traffic flow near a bus stop on the basis of survival analysis theory.Travel time data associated with mixed traffic characteristics near a bus stop were collected by video cameras.A hazard-based duration model was introduced to analyze the effects of mixed traffic flow on car travel time.The results indicate that mixed traffic flow impacts car travel time significantly.And the presence of bus berthing violation would delay car travel time.The proposed model can be used to forecast temporal shifts in car travel time due to changes in mixed traffic flow.The influential factors related to mixed traffic flow should be given full consideration in the planning and designing of bus stops in developing countries. 关 键 词:生存分析理论 公共汽车站 发展中国家 驾车 混合交通流 出行时间 时间模型 数据收集
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