Research and Analysis on Refined Precipitation Forecast Method of Highway during Flood Season in Gansu Province

查看全文 作　　者：Liu [1]Kang;Li [1]Zhaorong;Wang [1]Yousheng;Zhang [2]Yu;Yang [3]Ruihong;He [1]Jinmei;Wang [1]Dongmei;Yin [1]Chun

机构地区：[1]Gansu Provincial Meteorological Service Center;[2]Institute of Arid Meteorology China Meteorological Administration;[3]Gansu Province Artificial Modification Office

出　　处：《Meteorological and Environmental Research》索引2015年第6卷第1期,共6页

基　　金：Supported by Achievement Transformation Project of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau,China(2014-19);General Program of Gansu Provincial Meteorological Bureau,China(2015-05) 摘　　要：In this paper,T639 global spectral model numerical forecast products issued by numerical prediction center of China Meteorological Administration and precipitation data at 676 regional stations of Gansu during flood season were used firstly for interpretation.Then,through the establishment of multiple linear stepwise regression equation,daily precipitation forecast with the time interval of 6hduring 0-72 hin May,2013 in Gansu Province was obtained.By precipitation forecast verification analysis,it was found that the precipitation forecast in Hexi region and central Gansu Province had best effect;forecast in some places of east Hedong region had relatively good effect;part of the city or state forecast effect in the plateau slope zone was relatively lower.The refined precipitation forecast had certain reference and use value in the post-production Gansu Province highway forecasting during flood season. 关键词：高速公路降水资料甘肃省预报方法汛期多元线性回归方程数值预报产品预测效果

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Research and Analysis on Refined Precipitation Forecast Method of Highway during Flood Season in Gansu Province

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