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Short-Impending Earthquake Anomaly Index Extraction of GNSS Continuous Observation Data in Yunnan,Southwestern China

查看全文 作  者:Min [1]Hong;Desheng [1]Shao;Tengfei [2]Wu;Shuangxi [2,3]Zhang;Yong [1]Zhang;Lingli [1]Wang;Xiaodong [1]Qian 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]Deformation Survey Center, Yunnan Earthquake Agency, Kunming 650041, China;[2]School of Geodesy and Geomatics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430079, China;[3]Key Laboratory of Environment and Geodesy, Ministry of Education, Wuhan 430079, China高影响力机构 出  处:《Journal of Earth Science》索引2018年第29卷第1期,共7页高影响力期刊 基  金:supported by the National 973 Project of China (No. 2013CB733303);the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41474093);the Key Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province (No. 2014CFA110);the open fund of Key Laboratory of Geospace Environment and Geodesy, Ministry of Education (No. 15-02-07);the China Earthquake Administration’s Earthquake Science and Technology Spark Program (No. XH15037SX);Special fund of earthquake science and technology of Yunnan Earthquake Agency (No. 2017ZX02);the Jiancheng Li Academician Workstation (No. 2015IC015) 摘  要:This paper presents a comprehensive area expansion prediction index method to apply GNSS for short-impending prediction of earthquakes. Based on continuous GNSS observation data from Yunnan Province, a displacement field was detected after data cycle-slip repair using precision data processing software and geophysical field effect model correction. The Yunnan area was divided into 56 grid cells for displacement field interpolation to obtain a more uniform displacement field and a strain field variation time series. The pre-earthquake response of each grid-cell expansion time series was evaluated and synthesized to extract a short-impending earthquake anomaly identification index. The results show that this index indicated occurrence times and hypocenter for earthquakes of magnitude M≥5. Fourteen earthquakes were predicted accurately, and there were five false reports. This index can therefore be used for the short-impending prediction of earthquakes. 关 键 词:GNSS 短逼近的地震预言 紧张 异例索引 西南的中国
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