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The gap report of global climate change mitigation, finance, and governance after the United States declared its withdrawal from the Paris Agreement

查看全文 作　　者：Qimin [1,2]Chai;Sha [1]Fu;Huaqing [1]Xu;Weiran [1]Li;Yan [1]Zhong 高影响力作者 机构地区：[1]Department of International Cooperation,National Center for Climate Change Strategy and International Cooperation(NCSC);[2]Research Center for Contemporary Management (RCCM), Tsinghua University高影响力机构 出　　处：《Chinese Journal of Population,Resources and Environment》索引2017年第15卷第3期,共13页高影响力期刊 基　　金：supported by following projects:China Clean Development Mechanism Fund Project'Equity and Ambition Assessment on Major Parties NDCs under the2015 Agreement'(grant no.:2014094);'China-US Pragmatic Cooperative Technical Support Project for Climate Change'(grant no.:2013019);Ministry of Science and Technology Reform Specific Research and Development Project'Research on Major Urgent Issues on Climate Change after Paris Agreement,''Research on INDC and Influence and Counterplan of the Global Stocktake Mechanism';National Natural Science Foundation;2017 emergency management project'the impact of the United States'withdrawal from the Paris Agreement on global climate governance and China's response strategy' 摘　　要：On 1 June 2017, the US President Donald Trump officially announced the withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, thus the study on the reasons of withdrawal, the potential impacts, and coping strategies has become a focus among policy circles and of the international community. Based on the self-developed US Policy Assessment Model, this paper systematically evaluates the three potential 'major deficits' in terms of mitigation, climate finance, and global climate governance, as a result of the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement and puts forward policy suggestions for coping with such transformations accordingly. The study shows that the United States 'withdrawal from the Paris Agreement will affect the existence and implementation of successive climate policies and result in an additional 8.8-13.4% increase in the global emissions reduction deficit.The United States' withdrawal will also deteriorate the existing climate finance mechanism. The Green Climate Fund(GCF)'s funding gap will increase by US$2 billion, while the gap of long-term climate finance will increase by about US$5 billion a year. Either the China-EU or the 'BASIC plus' mechanism could fill the governance deficit caused by the United States and the lack of political momentum may continue for a while in the future. 关 键 词：全球气候变化 美国政策 金融 协议 巴黎 差距 Basic 评价模型
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