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| 1 | An updated estimation of the risk of transmission of the novel coronavirus(2019-nCov)显示文摘The basic reproduction number of an infectious agent is the average number of infections one case can generate over the course of the infectious period,in a naïve,uninfected population.It is well-known that the estimation of this number may vary due to several methodological issues,including different assumptions and choice of parameters,utilized models,used datasets and estimation period.With the spreading of the novel coronavirus(2019-nCoV)infection,the reproduction number has been found to vary,reflecting the dynamics of transmission of the coronavirus outbreak as well as the case reporting rate.Due to significant variations in the control strategies,which have been changing over time,and thanks to the introduction of detection technologies that have been rapidly improved,enabling to shorten the time from infection/symptoms onset to diagnosis,leading to faster confirmation of the new coronavirus cases,our previous estimations on the transmission risk of the 2019-nCoV need to be revised.By using time-dependent contact and diagnose rates,we refit our previously proposed dynamics transmission model to the data available until January 29th,2020 and re-estimated the effective daily reproduction ratio that better quantifies the evolution of the interventions.We estimated when the effective daily reproduction ratio has fallen below 1 and when the epidemics will peak.Our updated findings suggest that the best measure is persistent and strict self-isolation.The epidemics will continue to grow,and can peak soon with the peak time depending highly on the public health interventions practically implemented. | Biao Tang Nicola Luigi Bragazzi Qian Li Sanyi Tang Yanni Xiao Jianhong Wu | 2020 | Infectious Disease Modelling2020，5，1： | 54 |
| 2 | THE EFFECTS OF TIMING OF PULSE SPRAYING AND RELEASING PERIODS ON DYNAMICS OF GENERALIZED PREDATOR-PREY MODEL显示文摘 | CHANGTONG LI SANYI TANG | 2012 | International Journal of Biomathematics2012，5，1： | 11 |
| 3 | PERMANENCE AND PERIODIC SOLUTION IN AN INTEGRODIFFERENTIAL SYSTEM WITH DISCRETE DIFFUSION显示文摘Dynamical characteristics of an integrodifferential modelling competitive sys-tem with diffusion are investigated.In particular,we derive sufficient conditions for the permanence of species,existence of an attracting periodic solution to the periodic system.The results of Wang Ke in 1994 and 1998 are improved and extended. | XIAO Yanni CHEN Lansun TANG Sanyi (Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100080, China) | 2003 | Journal of Systems Science & Complexity2003，16，1： | 5 |
| 4 | Threshold conditions for integrated pest management models with pesticides that have residual effects显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Juhua Liang Yuanshun Tan Robert A. Cheke | 2013 | Journal of Mathematical Biology2013，，1： | 2 |
| 5 | Dynamics of infection with non-linear incidence in a simple vaccination model 显示文摘 | Xiao Yanni Tang Sanyi | 2010 | Non- linear Anal RWA2010，11，5： | 1 |
| 6 | Density -dependent birth rate, birth pulse and their population dynamic and consequences显示文摘 | Tang Sanyi Chen Lansun | 2002 | J Math boil2002，44，： | 1 |
| 7 | Global qualitative analysis for a ratio-dependent predator-prey model with delay显示文摘 | Tang sanyi Chen lansun | 2002 | J Math Anal Appl2002，266，： | 1 |
| 8 | Extinction an Persistence in Discrete Noncooperative Systems with Age-Structure and Diffusion 显示文摘 | Tang SanYi Xiao YanNi | 2001 | Mathematical and Computer Modelling2001，33，8： | 1 |
| 9 | Linearized Oscillations in Nonlinear Delay Difference Equations | Sanyi Tang Department of Computer and Mathematics,Hubei Institute for Nationalities,Enshi 445000,P.R.ChinaYanni Xiao Institute of Mathematics,Academia Sinica,Beijing 100080,P.R.China E-mail:xyn@math03.math.ac.cnJufang Chen Department of Mathematics,Shanxi Normal University,Xi’an 710062,P.R.China | 1999 | Acta Mathematica Sinica,English Series1999，15，4： | 1 |
| 10 | State-dependent impulsive models of integrated pest management (IPM) strategies and their dynamic consequences显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Robert A. Cheke | 2005 | Journal of Mathematical Biology2005，，3： | 1 |
| 11 | Integrated pest management models and their dynamical behaviour显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Yanni Xiao Lansun Chen | 2005 | Bulletin of Mathematical Biology2005，67，1： | 1 |
| 12 | Density-dependent birth rate,birth pulses and their population dynamic consequences显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Lansun Chen | 2002 | J Math Biol2002，44，： | 1 |
| 13 | Models for integrated pest control and their biological implications显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Robert A. Cheke | 2008 | Mathematical Biosciences2008，，1： | 1 |
| 14 | Media coverage and hospital notifications: correlation analy-sis and optimal media impact duration to manage a pandemic 显示文摘 | YAN Qinling TANG Sanyi GABRIELE S | 2016 | J Theoret Biol2016，390，： | 1 |
| 15 | Transmission potential of the novel avian influenza A(H7N9)infection in mainland China显示文摘 | XIAO Yanni SUN Xiaodan TANG Sanyi | 2014 | J Theor Biol2014，352，3： | 1 |
| 16 | Optimal timing of interventions in fishery resource and pest management显示文摘 | Yuan Xue Sanyi Tang Juhua Liang | 2011 | Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications2011，，4： | 1 |
| 17 | Media impact switching surface during an infectious disease out-break 显示文摘 | XIAO Yanni TANG Sanyi WU Jianhong | 2015 | Scientific Reports2015，5，： | 1 |
| 18 | Optimal dosage and economic threshold of multiple pesticide applications for pest control显示文摘 | Juhua Liang Sanyi Tang | 2009 | Mathematical and Computer Modelling2009，，5： | 1 |
| 19 | Cheked, Integrated Pest Management Models and Their Dynamical Behavior显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Yanni Xiao Lansun Chen | 2005 | Bulletin of Mathematical Biology2005，67，： | 1 |
| 20 | Integrated pest management models and their dynamical behaviour显示文摘 | Sanyi Tang Yanni Xiao Lansun Chen Robert A. Cheke | 2005 | Bulletin of Mathematical Biology2005，，： | 1 |
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