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Change in the tilting of the ridgeline surface of the subtropical anticyclone and the predictability of the onset of the Asian summer monsoon

查看全文 作  者:MAO Jiangyu, DUAN Anmin, LIU Yimin WU Guoxiong State Key Laboratory of Numerical Modeling for Almospheric Sciences and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics (LASG), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China 高影响力作者 出  处:《Chinese Science Bulletin》索引2003年第48卷第S2期,共6页高影响力期刊 摘  要:The NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data are used tostudy the relationships among the change in the tilting of theridgeline surface of the subtropical anticyclone, the estab-lishment of the so-called 'seasonal transition axis (STA)' andthe onset of the Asian summer monsoon. It is shown that themonsoon onset is characterized by the overturning of themeridional temperature gradient (MTG) in the vicinity of theridgeline surface. A MTG index is then constructed to inves-tigate the predictability of the Asian summer monsoon onsetconceptually. Data diagnoses show that if the initial MTG isknown and the meridional gradient across the ridgeline sur-face of the local temperature tendency can be estimated, alate or early onset of the summer monsoon can be qualita-tively predicted in advance. 关 键 词:ridgeline SURFACE MERIDIONAL temperature gradient summer monsoon onset predictability.
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