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| 1 | Climate change,thermal niches,extinction risk and maternal-effect rescue of toad-headed lizards,Phrynocephalus,in thermal extremes of the Arabian Peninsula to the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau显示文摘Determining the susceptibility of species to changing thermal niches is a major goal for biologists.In this paper we develop an eco-physiological model of extinction risk under climate change premised on behavioral thermoregulation.Our method downscales operative environmental temperatures,which restrict hours of activity of lizards,hr,for present-day climate(1975)and future climate scenarios(2070).We apply our model using occurrence records of 20 Phrynocephalus lizards(or taxa in species complexes)drawn from literature and museum records.Our analysis is phylogenetically informed,because some clades may be more sensitive to rising temperatures.The limits for computed hr predict local extirpations among Phrynocephalus lizards at continental scales and delineate upper boundaries of thermal niches as defined by Extreme Value Distributions.Under the 8.5 Representative Concentration Pathway scenario,we predict extirpation of 64%of local populations by 2070 across 20 Phrynocephalus species,and 12 are at high risk of total extinction due to thermal limits being exceeded.In tandem with global strategies of lower CO_(2) emissions,we propose regional strategies for establishing new national parks to protect extinction-prone taxa by preserving high-elevation climate refugia within existing sites of species occurrence.We propose that evolved acclimatization–maternal plasticity–may ameliorate risk,but is poorly studied.Previous studies revealed that adaptive maternal plasticity by thermoregulating gravid females alter progeny thermal preferences by±1℃.We describe plasticity studies for extinction-prone species that could assess whether they might be buffered from climate warming–a self-rescue.We discuss an epigenetic framework for studying such maternal-effect evolution. | Barry SINERVO Donald B.MILES Yayong WU Fausto R.MÉNDEZ-DE LA CRUZ Sebastian KIRCHHOF Yin QI | 2018 | Integrative Zoology2018，13，4： | 3 |
| 2 | Allometric engineering: a causal analysis of natural selection on offspring size 显示文摘 | Sinervo B Doughty P Huey R B Zamudio K | 1992 | Science1992，258，： | 1 |
| 3 | Interactive effects of offspring size and timing of reproduction on offspring reproduction experimental, maternal and quantitative genetic aspects 显示文摘 | Sinervo B Doughty P | 1996 | Evolution1996，50，3： | 1 |
| 4 | The rock-paper-scissors game and the evolution of alternative male strategies显示文摘 | Sinervo B Livel C M | 1996 | Nature1996，380，6571： | 1 |
| 5 | Self-recognition, color signals, and cycles of greenbeard mutualism and altruism显示文摘 | Sinervo B Chaine A Clobert J | 2006 | PNAS2006，103，19： | 1 |
| 6 | Rotor radial position control and its effect on the total efficiency of a bearingless induction motor with a cage rotor显示文摘 | Sinervo A Arkkio A | 2014 | IEEE Transactions on Magnetics2014，50，4： | 1 |
| 7 | The rock-scissors-paper game and the evolution of alternative male strategies显示文摘 | SINERVO B LIVELY C M | 1996 | Nature1996，340，： | 1 |
| 8 | Thermal sensitivity of growth rate in hatchling Sceloporus lizard:Environmental,behavioral and genetic aspects显示文摘 | Sinervo B Adolph S.C | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 9 | Models of density-dependent genie selection and a new rock-paper-scissors social system显示文摘 | Sinervo B Heulin B Surget-Groba Y | 2007 | Ameriean Naturalist2007，170，： | 1 |
| 10 | Frequency-dependent reproductive success in female common lizards:a veal-life hawk-dove-bullygame显示文摘 | Vercken E Clobert J Sinervo B | | 0，，01： | 1 |
| 11 | Role of gene interactions in hybdd speciation:Evidence from ancient and experimental hybrids显示文摘 | Rieseberg L H Sinervo B Lindcr C R | 1996 | Science1996，272，： | 1 |
| 12 | A models of density-dependent genic selection and a new-rock-paper-scissors social system显示文摘 | Sinervo B Heulin B Surget-Groba Y | | 0，，05： | 1 |
| 13 | Colour variation and alternative reproductive strategies in females of the common lizard Lacerta vivipara显示文摘 | Vercken E Massot M Sinervo B | | 0，，01： | 1 |
| 14 | Role of gene interactions in hybrid speciation:evidence from ancient and experimental hybrids显示文摘 | Rieseberg L H Sinervo B Linder C R Ungerer M C Arias D M | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 15 | The rock-paper-scissors game and evolution of alternative male reproductive strategies显示文摘 | Sinervo B Lively C M | | 0，，： | 1 |
| 16 | Role of gene interaction in hybrid speciation:Evidence from ancient and experimental hybrids显示文摘 | Rieseberg L H Sinervo B Linder C R Ungerer M C Arias D M | 1996 | Science1996，272，： | 1 |
| 17 | Laparoscoprc excision of lesions suggestive of endometriosis or otherwise atypical in appearance: relationship between visual findings and final histologic diagnosis 显示文摘 | Albee RB Sinervo K Fisher DT | 2008 | J Minim Invasive Gynecol2008，15，1： | 1 |
| 18 | Iridophores and not carotenoids account for chromatic variation of carotenoid-based coloration in common lizards (Lacerta vivipara)显示文摘 | San-Jose L M Granado-Lorencio F Sinervo B | | 0，，03： | 1 |
| 19 | Rotor radial position control and its effect on the total efficiency of a bearingless in- duction motor with a cage rotor 显示文摘 | SINERVO A ARKKIO A | 2014 | IEEE Transactions on Magnetics2014，50，4： | 1 |
| 20 | Developmental consequences of an evolutionary change in egg size:an experimental test显示文摘 | Sinervo B Mc Edward L R | 1988 | Evolution1988，42，5： | 1 |
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