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| 1 | 中国新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情基本再生数评估显示文摘目的目前湖北省的新型冠状病毒肺炎(COVID-19)确诊和疑似病例的数量仍在增加。国内外多个团队对疫情发展进行了模型预测,但结论并不统一。因此,开展本次疫情的预测模型研究、评估COVID-19的基本再生数(basic reproduction number,R0),对于评估病毒的传播能力以及一系列控制措施的效果具有重要意义。方法收集从湖北省2020年1月17日到2月8日期间每天报告的确诊病例数等数据,分别采用指数增长方法(exponential growth,EG)、极大似然法(maximum likelihood estimation,ML)、序贯贝叶斯方法(sequential Bayesian method,SB)和时间相关基本再生数(time dependent reproduction numbers,TD)估计R0值。结果由观测病例数和4种方法预测的病例数的拟合情况可知,EG方法拟合效果最优。EG方法估计COVID-19湖北省R0的值为3.49(95%CI:3.42~3.58)。采取封城控制手段期间,EG方法估算R0值为2.95(95%CI:2.86~3.03)。结论在传染病流行初期,适合采用EG方法估算R0。同时需要采取及时有效的控制措施,进一步降低COVID-19的传播速率。 | 王莹 尤心怡 王奕婧 彭丽萍 杜志成 Stuart Gilmour Daisuke Yoneoka 顾菁 郝春 郝元涛 李菁华 | 2020 | 中华流行病学杂志2020，41，4： | 22 |
| 2 | Moderators of the relation- ship between depression and cardiovascular disorders : a systematic review显示文摘 | Baune BT Stuart M Gilmour A | 2012 | Gen Hosp Psychiatry2012，34，5： | 1 |
| 3 | The relationship between subtypes of depression and cardiovascular disease: a systematic re- view of biological models 显示文摘 | Baune BT Stuart M Gilmour A | 2012 | Transl Psychiatry2012，2，3： | 1 |
| 4 | The relationship between subtypes of depression and cardiovascular disease : a systematic review of biological models 显示文摘 | Baune B T Stuart M Gilmour A | 2012 | Transl Psychiatry2012，2，92： | 1 |
| 5 | Moderators of the relationship between depression and cardiovascular disorders: a systematic review显示文摘 | Baune BT Stuart M Gilmour A | 2012 | Gen Hosp Psychiatry2012，34，： | 1 |
| 6 | Moderators of the relationship between depression and cardiovascular disorders: a systematic review显示文摘 | Bernhard T. Baune Michael Stuart Ashley Gilmour Heike Wersching Volker Arolt Klaus Berger | 2012 | General Hospital Psychiatry2012，，5： | 1 |
| 7 | Moderators of the relationship between depression and cardiovascular disorders:A systematic review显示文摘 | Baune B T Stuart M Gilmour A | 2012 | Gen Hosp Psychiatry2012，34，5： | 1 |
| 8 | Insertional mutagenesis combined with acquired somatic mutations causes leukemogenesis following gene therapy of SCID-X1 patients显示文摘 | Howe Steven J Mansour Marc R Schwarzwaelder Kerstin Bartholomae Cynthia Hubank Michael Kempski Helena Brugman Martijn H Pike-Overzet Karin Chatters Stephen J de Ridder Dick Gilmour Kimberly C Adams Stuart Thornhill Susannah I Parsley Kathryn | 2008 | Journal of Clinical Investigation2008，，9： | 1 |
| 9 | An enhanced functional ability questionnaire(faVIQ) to measure the impact of rehabilitation services on the visually impaired显示文摘AIM: To develop a short,enhanced functional ability Quality of Vision(faVIQ) instrument based on previous questionnaires employing comprehensive modern statistical techniques to ensure the use of an appropriate response scale,items and scoring of the visual related difficulties experienced by patients with visual impairment. · METHODS: Items in current quality-of-life questionnaires for the visually impaired were refined by a multi-professional group and visually impaired focus groups. The resulting 76 items were completed by 293 visually impaired patients with stable vision on two occasions separated by a month. The faVIQ scores of 75 patients with no ocular pathology were compared to 75 age and gender matched patients with visual impairment. ·RESULTS: Rasch analysis reduced the faVIQ items to 27. Correlation to standard visual metrics was moderate(r =0.32-0.46) and to the NEI-VFQ was 0.48. The faVIQ was able to clearly discriminate between age and gender matched populations with no ocular pathology and visual impairment with an index of 0.983 and 95% sensitivity and 95% specificity using a cut off of 29.·CONCLUSION: The faVIQ allows sensitive assessment of quality-of-life in the visually impaired and should support studies which evaluate the effectiveness of low vision rehabilitation services. | James Stuart Wolffsohn Jonathan Jackson Olivia Anne Hunt Charles Cottriall Jennifer Lindsay Richard Gilmour Anne Sinclair Robert Harper | 2014 | International Journal of Ophthalmology(English edition)2014，7，1： | 0 |
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