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| 1 | Analysis of status and countermeasures of cancer incidence and mortality in China显示文摘Cancer is the leading cause of human deaths in the world and produces serious economic burdens. On September 12, 2018, the academic journal A Cancer Journal for Clinicians published an article about the latest statistics of cancers worldwide, which provided a status report on the global burden of 36 cancers in 185 countries worldwide. Cancer has also become a serious public health problem in China and caused more and more attention of the government and people in recent years. This review analyzes the incidence, mortality and prevalent trend of cancers in China, discusses the reasons behind this status, and reviews the potential countermeasures for cancer prevention and control in China. | Chunchun Wu Mengna Li Hanbing Meng Yukun Liu Weihong Niu Yao Zhou Ran Zhao Yumei Duan Zhaoyang Zeng Xiaoling Li Guiyuan Li Wei Xiong Ming Zhou | 2019 | Science China(Life Sciences)2019，62，5： | 175 |
| 2 | Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model for Water Resources Carrying Capacity in Tarim River Basin,Xinjiang,China显示文摘This paper explores the method of comprehensive evaluation of water resources carrying capacity and sets up an evaluation model applying the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. Based on the data of nature,society,economics and water resources of the Tarim River Basin in 2002,we evaluated the water resources carrying capacity of the basin by means of the model. The results show that the comprehensive grades are 0.438 and 0.454 for Aksu and Kashi prefectures respectively,where the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree and there is only a very limited water carrying capacity,0.620 for Kizilsu Kirgiz Autonomous Prefecture,where water resources carrying capacity is much higher,and in between for Hotan Prefecture and Bayingolin Mongo-lian Autonomous Prefecture. As a whole,the comprehensive grade of the Tarim River Basin is 0.508 and the current water resources exploitation and utilization has reached a relative high degree. Thus,we suggest that the integrated management of the water resources in the basin should be strengthened in order to utilize water resources scientifically and sustainably. | MENG Lihong CHEN Yaning LI Weihong ZHAO Ruifeng | 2009 | Chinese Geographical Science2009，19，1： | 55 |
| 3 | Mapping wetland changes in China between 1978 and 2008显示文摘Four wetland maps for all China have been produced,based on Landsat and CBERS-02B remote sensing data between 1978 and 2008 (1978,1990,2000 and 2008).These maps were mainly developed by manual interpretation and validated by substantial field investigation in 2009.Based on these maps,we analyzed the 2008 wetland distribution in China and discussed wetland changes and their drivers over the past 30 years.(i) There were about 324097 km 2 of wetlands in 2008,for which inland marshes or swamps were the most common wetland type (35%),with lakes (26%) second.Most of the wetlands were in Heilongjiang,Inner Mongolia,Qinghai and Tibet,occupying about 55% of the national wetland area.(ii) From 1978 to 2008,China's wetland area continually and significantly decreased,by about 33% based on changes in the wetland map.This was in sharp contrast to the increase in artificial wetlands,which increased by about 122%.Inland marshes accounted for the main loss of total wetlands from 1978 to 2000.From 2000 through 2008,riverine and lacustrine wetlands constituted the main wetland loss.Fortunately however,the rate of wetland loss decreased from 5523 to 831 km 2 /a.(iii) The change ratio of lost natural wetlands (including inland and coastal wetlands) to non-wetlands has decreased slightly over the past 30 years.From 1978 to 1990,nearly all natural wetlands (98%) lost were transformed into non-wetlands.However,the ratio declined to 86% from 1990 to 2000,and to 77% from 2000 to 2008.(iv) All Chinese provinces were divided into three groups according to patterns of wetland changes,which could relate to the driving forces of such changes.Tibet was completely different from other provinces,as it was one representative example in which there was a net wetland increase,because of global warming and decreased human activity since 1990.Increased economic development caused considerable wetland loss in most eastern provinces,and artificial wetlands increased. | NIU ZhenGuo ZHANG HaiYing WANG XianWei YAO WenBo ZHOU DeMin ZHAO KuiYi ZHAO Hui LI NaNa HUANG HuaBing LI CongCong YANG Jun LIU CaiXia LIU Shuang WANG Lin LI Zhan YANG ZhenZhong QIAO Fei ZHENG YaoMin CHEN YanLei SHENG YongWei GAO XiaoHong ZHU WeiHong WANG WenQing WANG Hong WENG YongLing ZHUANG DaFang LIU JiYuan LUO ZhiCai CHENG Xiao GUO ZiQi GONG Peng | 2012 | Chinese Science Bulletin2012，57，22： | 51 |
| 4 | Calcium dobesilate for diabetic retinopathy: a systematic review and meta-analysis显示文摘Many randomized clinical controlled trials have confirmed the efficacy and safety of calcium dobesilate in treating diabetic retinopathy(DR).This systematic review critically evaluated the evidence that links calcium dobesilate to DR.In this fixed-effects meta-analysis,a total of 221 pertinent English-language articles published between January 1975 and October 2013 were identified.Systematic searches of PUBMED,Springer Link and the Cochrane Clinical Trials Database were conducted using the keywords 'diabetic retinopathy' and 'calcium dobesilate'.The extracted information included the study design,inclusion and exclusion criteria,setting,sample size,participant mean age,treatment regime,mean change in best corrected visual acuity,laboratory parameters,capillary fragility,intraocular pressure and fundus manifestations based on the findings of fluorescent angiography.The summary statistics indicated that calcium dobesilate was significantly associated with improving retinal microaneurysms(RR: 0.62,95%CI: 0.42?0.90,P=0.01),retinalhemorrhages(RR: 0.39,95% CI: 0.17?0.88,P=0.02); exudates(RR: 0.31,95% CI: 0.12?0.81,P=0.02),reduction of whole blood viscosity(MD: ?0.57 CP,95% CI: ?0.75 to ?0.38,P<0.001),plasma viscosity(MD: ?0.36 CP,95% CI: ?0.63 to ?0.09,P=0.01) and blood cholesterol(MD: ?0.48 mg m L?1,95% CI: ?0.64?0.33,P<0.00001).Intraocular pressure was also significantly reduced(MD: ?5.59 mm Hg,95% CI: ?6.69 to ?4.50,P<0.00001).The results indicate that calcium dobesilate effectively treats DR at the systematic and local ocular levels. | ZHANG XinYuan LIU Wei WU ShanShan JIN JingLong LI WeiHong Wang NingLi | 2015 | Science China(Life Sciences)2015，58，1： | 54 |
| 5 | Altitude dependency of trends of daily climate extremes in southwestern China, 1961-2008显示文摘A total of 12 indices of temperature extremes and 11 indices of precipitation ex-tremes at 111 stations in southwestern China at altitudes of 285-4700 m were examined for the period 1961-2008. Significant correlations of temperature extremes and elevation in-cluded the trends of diurnal temperature range, frost days, ice days, cold night frequency and cold day frequency. Regional trends of growing season length, warm night frequency, coldest night and warmest night displayed a statistically significant positive correlation with altitude. These characteristics indicated the obvious warming with altitude. For precipitation extreme indices, only the trends of consecutive dry days, consecutive wet days, wet day precipitation and the number of heavy precipitation days had significant correlations with increasing alti-tude owing to the complex influence of atmospheric circulation. It also indicated the increased precipitation mainly at higher altitude areas, whereas the increase of extreme precipitation events mainly at lowers altitude. In addition, the clearly local influences are also crucial on climate extremes. The analysis revealed an enhanced sensitivity of climate extremes to ele-vation in southwestern China in the context of recent warming. | Li Zongxing He Yuanqing Theakstone, Wilfred H. Wang Xufeng Zhang Wei Cao Weihong Du Jiankuo Xin Huijuan Chang Li | 2012 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2012，22，3： | 36 |
| 6 | Response of the accumulation of proline in the bodies of Populus euphratica to the change of groundwater level at the lower reaches of Tarim River显示文摘The content of proline in the plant bodies is closely related to the converse-succession-resistant capability of the plants. In this paper, the relationship between the proline accumulation in the bodies of Populus euphratica and the change of groundwater level is analyzed by taking Popu-lus euphratica, the main community-building species of the desert riparian forests along the Tarim River, as the research object. The research results show that the accumulation of proline in the bodies of Populus euphratica is closely related to the change of groundwater level gradient under drought stress, it increases with the drawdown of groundwater level and the increase of moisture stress degree; the accumulation of proline in the bodies of Populus euphratica has two ex-tremely high points at the groundwater depth ranges of 3.64—5.14 m and 9.46—10.16 m. Combining the field investiga-tion and the analysis of the plots, it is considered that the groundwater level of 3.5—4.5 m is rational for the growth of Populus euphratica. The stress groundwater depth for the normal growth and the critical one for the survival of Popu-lus euphratica are below 4.5 m and 9—10 m respectively at the lower reaches of the Tarim River. | Yaning Chen Yapeng Chen Weihong Li Hongfeng Zhang | 2003 | Chinese Science Bulletin2003，48，18： | 31 |
| 7 | Rational groundwater table indicated by the ecophysiological parameters of the vegetation:A case study of ecological restoration in the lower reaches of the Tarim River显示文摘Populus euphratica Oliv 和 Tamarix ramosissima Ldb 的 eco 生理的反应和改编在水版本时期期间被调查。九个典型区域和 45 横断沿着 Tarim 河的更低的活动范围被选择。地下水桌子以及植物表演和脯氨酸,可溶的糖,和植物的内容内长的荷尔蒙(骆驼毛的织物, CTK ) 在叶子被监视并且分析。地下水桌子在不同区域被提起,横断走水路推出程序。生理的压力到 P。euphratica 和 T。ramosissima 在水版本以后被减少了。我们的结果建议在学习区域的地下水桌子在 3.15~4.12 m 留下了,从 9.28~11.06 的脯氨酸内容( mmol/L ),从 224.71~252.16 的可溶的糖内容( mmol/L ),从 3.59~5.01 的 ABA 内容( ng/g FW ),并且从 4.01~4.56 的 CK 内容( ng/g FW ),为最佳生长和 P 的恢复。植物性能参数和水申请的效率显示的 euphratica 最高。在学习区域的地下水桌子在 2.16~3.38 m 留下了,从 12.15~14.17 的脯氨酸内容( mmol/L ),从 154.71~183.16 的可溶的糖内容( mmol/L ),从 2.78~4.86 的 ABA 内容( ng/g FW ),并且从 3.78~4.22 的 CK 内容( ng/g FW ),为最佳生长和 T 的恢复。植物表演参数和水申请的效率显示的 ramosissima 最高。为在学习区域的植被的恢复的合理地下水桌子在 3.15 ~ 3.38 m。 | CHEN Yaning WANG Qiang LI Weihong RUAN Xiao CHEN Yapengr ZHANG Lihua | 2006 | Chinese Science Bulletin2006，51，A01： | 31 |
| 8 | Aggregation-induced emission: a coming-of-age ceremony at the age of eighteen显示文摘Aggregation-induced emission(AIE) has drawn great attention worldwide for its unique optical phenomenon and huge potential applications. Since coined by Ben Zhong Tang et al. in 2001, AIE has been deeply investigated and widely utilized in many important areas, such as organic light-emitting diode(OLED), sensor, and bio-imaging. Herein, we highlight some important progress of AIE in these eighteen years, including the exploration of internal mechanism and potential applications. Furthermore,some other interestingly emissive behaviors, originating but distinguishing from the AIE concept, are presented. It is anticipated an overall understanding about AIE could be easily caught from this short review for scientists, no matter whether they are involved in this exciting and rising research area or not. | Jie Yang Zhenguo Chi Weihong Zhu Ben Zhong Tang Zhen Li | 2019 | Science China Chemistry2019，62，9： | 25 |
| 9 | Climate change and hydrologic process response in the Tarim River Basin over the past 50 years显示文摘在在过去的 50 年的 Tarim 河盆的气候变化和水疗院逻辑过程反应是越来越多的研究人员的焦点“注意。在这篇论文,温度和降水时间系列被发现介绍单音补品的增加趋势 usingnonparametric 测试。显著地,重要的步在温度和降水时间系列变化发生在 1986。由在源流和主流对比自然的水过程的趋势,我们发现它不是人为的活动引起了河的气候变化在 Tarim 的更低的活动范围枯竭了,植被堕落了河。灰色的关联分析的结果证明散布河的更高的纬度的流量更仔细与冬季雪袜子被联系,当更低的纬度的与夏天温度有关仔细是更多时。在源流的流量对降水更敏感,当那对蒸发在主流更敏感时。尽管有降水在过去的 50years 上增加了的事实,增加温度引起的强壮的蒸发削弱了流量到某程度。 | XU Changchun CHEN Yaning LI Weihong CHEN Yapeng | 2006 | Chinese Science Bulletin2006，51，A01： | 23 |
| 10 | Ecological water demand of natural vegetation in the lower Tarim River显示文摘我们在西方的中国在 Tarim 河的更低的活动范围估价了在土壤潮湿,地下水深度,和植物种类差异之间的关系,由分析从 25 的领域数据监视越过八个学习地点和 25 永久植被调查的井阴谋。地下水深度,土壤潮湿和植物种类差异是密切相关的,这被注意。批评的井的水深度是在 Tarim 河的更低的活动范围的五米,这被证明了。我们每个月由用 Qunk 和 Averyanov 公式平均井的蒸发的二结果获得了不同地下水层次的吝啬的井的蒸发。与不同地下水深度基于不同植被类型和面积,在 2005 的自然植被的全部的生态的水需求(EWD ) 是 2. | YE Zhaoxia CHEN Yaning LI Weihong | 2010 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2010，20，2： | 23 |
| 11 | The variation in soil moisture and the appropriate groundwater table for desert riparian forest along the Lower Tarim River显示文摘基于在五年监视更低的 Tarim 河收集的数据,我们由使用变化(Cv ) 的系数的方法分析了土壤潮湿内容(SMC ) 和在 SMC,地下水表格深度(GWD ) 和植被之间的关系的可变性,皮尔森关联和回归。SMC 的可变性的结果显示它随 060 厘米的土壤层的土壤层 SMC 的深度的增加升起了与在在可变性显示出重要增加的 100260 厘米的土壤层的 SMC 相比是相对小的。SMC 和 GWD 在生态的水消遣在 Yingsu 横断和它水路的附近的地点展出了重要差别前后,特别在 100260 厘米的土壤层的 SMC 与 GWD 的重要上升显著地增加了并且在大约 4 m 的 GWD 到达了最大的价值。显著地随 100260 厘米的土壤层的 SMC 的增加改进的植物范围和种类差异,他们俩接近了最大的价值,当 SMC 是时, 92.3% 主要植物种类能成长 >10% 。沿着更低的 Tarim 河恢复荒芜的河边的森林的生态系统, GWD 必须被维持在 < 在水路并且在为这个干旱区域的其余部分的大约 4 m 的附近的 4 m。 | MA Xiaodong CHEN Yaning ZHU Chenggang LI Weihong | 2011 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2011，21，1： | 23 |
| 12 | Precise nanomedicine for intelligent therapy of cancer显示文摘Precise nanomedicine has been extensively explored for efficient cancer imaging and targeted cancer therapy, as evidenced by a few breakthroughs in their preclinical and clinical explorations. Here, we demonstrate the recent advances of intelligent cancer nanomedicine, and discuss the comprehensive understanding of their structure-function relationship for smart and efficient cancer nanomedicine including various imaging and therapeutic applications, as well as nanotoxicity. In particular, a few emerging strategies that have advanced cancer nanomedicine are also highlighted as the emerging focus such as tumor imprisonment, supramolecular chemotherapy, and DNA nanorobot. The challenge and outlook of some scientific and engineering issues are also discussed in future development. We wish to highlight these new progress of precise nanomedicine with the ultimate goal to inspire more successful explorations of intelligent nanoparticles for future clinical translations. | Huabing Chen Zhanjun Gu Hongwei An Chunying Chen Jie Chen Ran Cui Siqin Chen Weihai Chen Xuesi Chen Xiaoyuan Chen Zhuo Chen Baoquan Ding Qian Dong Qin Fan Ting Fu Dayong Hou Qiao Jiang Hengte Ke Xiqun Jiang Gang Liu Suping Li Tianyu Li Zhuang Liu Guangjun Nie Muhammad Ovais Daiwen Pang Nasha Qiu Youqing Shen Huayu Tian Chao Wang Hao Wang Ziqi Wang Huaping Xu Jiang-Fei Xu Xiangliang Yang Shuang Zhu Xianchuang Zheng Xianzheng Zhang Yanbing Zhao Weihong Tan Xi Zhang Yuliang Zhao | 2018 | Science China Chemistry2018，61，12： | 19 |
| 13 | Long-term Trend and Fractal of Annual Runoff Process in Mainstream of Tarim River显示文摘Based on the time series data from the Aral hydrological station for the period of 1958-2005,the paper re-veals the long-term trend and fractal of the annual runoff process in the mainstream of the Tarim River by using the wavelet analysis method and the fractal theory.The main conclusions are as follows:1)From a large time scale point of view,i.e.the time scale of 16(24)years,the annual runoff basically shows a slightly decreasing trend as a whole from 1958 to 2005.If the time scale is reduced to 8(23)or 4(22)years,the annual runoff still displays the basic trend as the large time scale,but it has fluctuated more obviously during the period.2)The correlation dimension for the annual runoff process is 3.4307,non-integral,which indicates that the process has both fractal and chaotic characteris-tics.The correlation dimension is above 3,which means that at least four independent variables are needed to describe the dynamics of the annual runoff process.3)The Hurst exponent for the first period(1958-1973)is 0.5036,which equals 0.5 approximately and indicates that the annual runoff process is in chaos.The Hurst exponents for the second(1974-1989)and third(1990-2005)periods are both greater than 0.50,which indicate that the annual runoff process showed a long-enduring characteristic in the two periods.The Hurst exponent for the period from 1990 to 2005 indi-cates that the annual runoff will show a slightly increasing trend in the 16 years after 2005. | XU Jianhua CHEN Yaning LI Weihong DONG Shan | 2008 | Chinese Geographical Science2008，18，1： | 18 |
| 14 | Mining User Interest in Microblogs with a User-Topic Model显示文摘Microblogs have become an important platform for people to publish,transform information and acquire knowledge.This paper focuses on the problem of discovering user interest in microblogs.In this paper,we propose a topic mining model based on Latent Dirichlet Allocation(LDA) named user-topic model.For each user,the interests are divided into two parts by different ways to generate the microblogs:original interest and retweet interest.We represent a Gibbs sampling implementation for inference the parameters of our model,and discover not only user's original interest,but also retweet interest.Then we combine original interest and retweet interest to compute interest words for users.Experiments on a dataset of Sina microblogs demonstrate that our model is able to discover user interest effectively and outperforms existing topic models in this task.And we find that original interest and retweet interest are similar and the topics of interest contain user labels.The interest words discovered by our model reflect user labels,but range is much broader. | HE Li JIA Yan HAN Weihong DING Zhaoyun | 2014 | China Communications2014，11，8： | 17 |
| 15 | Analysis on water potential of Populus euphratica oliv and its meaning in the lower reaches of Tarim River,Xinjiang显示文摘Combined with materials measured on leaves water potential of Populus euphratica oliv in the process of ecological water delivery in the lower reaches of Tarim River, the influence of ground-water depths and soil salinity on leaves water potential of P. euphratica was analyzed. We found that there was evident negative correlation between the leaves water potential of P. euphratica and ground-water depths. The deeper the ground-water depths were, the lower the leaves water potential of P. euphratica was, the more serious drought stress P. euphratica suffered from. Besides, there was evident negative correlation between the soil salinity and the leaves water potential of P. euphratica. The bigger the soil salinity was, the lower the leaves water potential of P euphratica was, the more serious drought stress was indicated from which P. euphratica suffered. For sections rather distant for Daxihaizi Reservoir as well as for those places of wells rather distant from the river course, ground-water depths and the soil salinity were high; the leaves water potential of P. euphratica was low. The leaves water potential of P. euphratica can reflect the degree at which P. euphratica suffers from drought and salt stress, and has an important reference meaning in analyzing proper ground-water depths for the survival and growth of P. euphratic in the lower reaches of Tarim River. | FU Aihong CHEN Yaning LI Weihong | 2006 | Chinese Science Bulletin2006，51，A01： | 17 |
| 16 | Effects of insoluble Zn,Cd,and EDTA on the growth,activities of antioxidant enzymes and uptake of Zn and Cd in Vetiveria zizanioides显示文摘A root-bag experiment was conducted to study the effects of insoluble Zn,Cd,and ethylenediaminetetraacetic acid(EDTA) on the plant growth,activities of antioxidant enzymes,proline,glutathione(GSH),water-soluble proteins and malondialdehyde(MDA) of Vetiveria zizanioides.The V.zizanioides uptake capacity of Zn and Cd also determined.The results showed that plant growth of V.zizanioides was inhibited by Zn and Cd.The shoot dry weight(SDW) and root dry weight(RDW) decrease by 14.2%,14.1%,17.0% and 17.3%,32.5%,35.7%,respectively,compared to the control without EDTA addition.After adding EDTA,shoot and root dry weight decreased over 10% and 15%,respectively.The toxicity from insoluble Zn and Cd in soil on SDW and RDW of V.zizanioides was in order:Zn+Cd > Cd > Zn.The activities of superoxide dismutase(SOD),peroxidase(POD) and catalase(CAT),and contents of MDA and proline increased significantly,while the contents of GSH and water-soluble proteins decreased markedly with increasing Zn and Cd toxicity.With EDTA,shoot and root Zn concentrations increased in the Zn treatment by 7.3% and 37.4%,and Cd concentrations in the combined Zn and Cd treatment increased by 18.6% and 391.9% compared to the treatment without EDTA.However,Zn and Cd concentrations in shoot and roots decreased in the Cd treatment compared to the plants grown in absence of EDTA,with exception of root Cd concentration in the presence of EDTA. | XU Weihong LI Wenyi HE Jianping Balwant Singh XIONG Zhiting | 2009 | Journal of Environmental Sciences2009，21，2： | 16 |
| 17 | Variations of temperature and precipitation of snowmelt period and its effect on runoff in the mountainous areas of Northwest China显示文摘在西北中国的干旱陆地的水资源主要源于雪和冰河在多山的区域融化水。snowmelt 时期的发作,停止,长度,温度和降水上的学习因此具有为相当分配有限的水资源并且采取科学的水资源管理措施的大意义。用从在时期上的 8 个多山的气象站的每日的吝啬的温度和降水 19602010 在西北中国的干旱陆地,这份报纸分析 snowmelt 时期和它的空间变化的气候变化并且探索流量的敏感到 snowmelt 的长度,温度和降水时期。结果证明当吝啬的结束日期 9.19 天以后移动了时, snowmelt 时期的那吝啬的发作 15.33 天早变了。当那仅仅 10.16 天早在北 Qilian 山移动了时,在南部的 Tianshan 山的 snowmelt 时期的发作 20.01 天早移动了。吝啬的降水和空气温度由 47.3 公里增加了并且 0. | LI Baofu CHEN Yaning CHEN Zhongsheng LI Weihong ZHANG Baohuan | 2013 | Journal of Geographical Sciences2013，23，1： | 14 |
| 18 | Multi-scale design and optimization for solid-lattice hybrid structures and their application to aerospace vehicle components显示文摘By integrating topology optimization and lattice-based optimization,a novel multi-scale design method is proposed to create solid-lattice hybrid structures and thus to improve the mechanical performance as well as reduce the structural weight.To achieve this purpose,a two-step procedure is developed to design and optimize the innovative structures.Initially,the classical topology optimization is utilized to find the optimal material layout and primary load carrying paths.Afterwards,the solid-lattice hybrid structures are reconstructed using the finite element mesh based modeling method.And lattice-based optimization is performed to obtain the optimal crosssection area of the lattice structures.Finally,two typical aerospace structures are optimized to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed optimization framework.The numerical results are quite encouraging since the solid-lattice hybrid structures obtained by the presented approach show remarkably improved performance when compared with traditional designs. | Chuang WANG Jihong ZHU Manqiao WU Jie HOU Han ZHOU Lu MENG Chenyang LI Weihong ZHANG | 2021 | Chinese Journal of Aeronautics2021，34，5： | 14 |
| 19 | Wavelet Analysis and Nonparametric Test for Climate Change in Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang During 1959-2006显示文摘Using wavelet analysis,regression analysis and the Mann-Kendall test,this paper analyzed time-series(1959-2006) weather data from 23 meteorological stations in an attempt to characterize the climate change in the Tarim River Basin of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,China.Major findings are as follows:1) In the 48-year study period,average annual temperature,annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity all presented nonlinear trends.2) At the 16-year time scale,all three climate indices unanimously showed a rather flat before 1964 and a detectable pickup thereafter.At the 8-year time scale,an S-shaped nonlinear and uprising trend was revealed with slight fluctuations in the entire process for all three indices.Incidentally,they all showed similar pattern of a slight increase before 1980 and a noticeable up-swing afterwards.The 4-year time scale provided a highly fluctuating pattern of periodical oscillations and spiral increases.3) Average annual relative humidity presented a negative correlation with average annual temperature and a positive correlation with annual precipitation at each time scale,which revealed a close dynamic relationship among them at the confidence level of 0.001.4) The Mann-Kendall test at the 0.05 confidence level demonstrated that the climate warming trend,as represented by the rising average annual temperature,was remarkable,but the climate wetting trend,as indicated by the rising annual precipitation and average annual relative humidity,was not obvious. | XU Jianhua CHEN Yaning LI Weihong JI Minhe DONG Shan HONG Yulian | 2009 | Chinese Geographical Science2009，19，4： | 14 |
| 20 | Impacts of temperature and precipitation on runoff in the Tarim River during the past 50 years显示文摘The relationship between climate change and water resources in the Tarim River was analyzed by combining the temperature,precipitation and streamflow data from 1957 to 2007 from the four headstreams of the Tarim River (Aksu,Hotan,Yarkant and Kaidu rivers) in the study area.The long-term trend of the hydrological time series including temperature,precipitation and streamflow were studied using correlation analysis and partial correlations analysis.Holt double exponential smoothing was used to fit the trends between streamflow and the two climatic factors of Aksu River,Hotan River and Yarkant River.The streamflow of the main stream was forecasted by Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA) modeling by the method of time series analysis.The results show that the temperature experienced a trend of monotonic rising.The precipitation and runoff of the four headstreams of the Tarim River increased,while the inflow to the headstreams increased and the inflow into the Tarim River decreased.Changes of temperature and precipitation had a significant impact on runoff into the four headstreams of the Tarim River: the precipitation had a positive impact on water flow in the Aksu River,Hotan River and Kaidu River,while the temperature had a positive impact on water flow in the Yarkant River.The results of Holt double exponential smoothing showed that the correlation between the independent variable and dependent variable was relatively close after the model was fitted to the headstreams,of which only the runoff and temperature values of Hotan River showed a significant negative correlation.The forecasts by the ARIMA model for 50 years of annual runoff at the Allar station followed the pattern of the measured data for the same years.The short-term forecasts beyond the observed series adequately captured the pattern in the data and showed a decreasing tendency in the Tarim River flow of 3.07% every ten years.The results showed that global warming accelerated the water recharge process of the headstreams.The special hydrological characteristics of the arid area determined the significant association between streamflow and the two climatic factors studied.Strong glacier retreat is likely to bring a series of flood disasters within the study area. | YuTing FAN YaNing CHEN WeiHong LI HuaiJun WANG XinGong LI | 2011 | Journal of Arid Land2011，3，3： | 13 |
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